AI tip
Medium confidenceBoth teams to score
55%
Market odds at lock: 1.85
Both teams to score at 55% (odds 1.85). The AI's own pick, Over 24.5 total shots (60%), was priced at 1.67; Both teams to score offers better value at its price by the AI's numbers, so it is the tip. Both teams' recent matches average over 30 total shots per game (30.8 and 30.4), well above the 24.5 line, making shots over the clearest above-50 market. Cards also lean over with combined averages of 5.2 and 5.6 per game, but shots over is stronger. Goals and BTTS are moderate, with both teams scoring in 3/5 and 4/5 respectively, supporting O25 and BTTS yes at 55% each.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Vitória | Stat | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 2.8 | Match goals | 2.6 |
| 3/5 | Over 2.5 | 3/5 |
| 3/5 | Both scored | 4/5 |
| 1/5 | Clean sheets | 1/5 |
| 1.16 | xG for | 1.26 |
| 1.32 | xG against | 1.51 |
| 4.8 | Corners won | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Corners conceded | 5 |
| 9.2 | Match corners | 9.4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3.6 |
| 5.2 | Match cards | 5.6 |
| 4.8 | Shots on target | 4.2 |
| 14.4 | Fouls | 15.6 |
Vitória vs Chapecoense preview
Vitória have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Chapecoense have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
Vitória score 1 and concede 1.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Vitória create 1.2 xG per game and allow 1.3. 3 of Vitória's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3. Chapecoense score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Chapecoense create 1.3 xG per game and allow 1.5. 3 of Chapecoense's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4.
On corners, Vitória win 4.8 per game and Chapecoense 4.4. On discipline, Vitória pick up 2 yellow cards per game and Chapecoense 3.6.
In their last 6 meetings, Vitória won 2, Chapecoense won 1 and 3 ended level, with 1.7 goals per game on average.
The AI's tip for Vitória vs Chapecoense is Both teams to score at 55% probability, locked before kickoff.
More Brasileirão Série A predictions →
Head to head
- 2026-04-05Chapecoense1 - 1Vitória
- 2023-11-25Chapecoense3 - 1Vitória
- 2023-07-24Vitória1 - 0Chapecoense
- 2021-01-17Vitória0 - 0Chapecoense
- 2020-10-17Chapecoense1 - 1Vitória
- 2018-10-14Chapecoense0 - 1Vitória
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vitória vs Chapecoense?
The AI's tip for Vitória vs Chapecoense is Both teams to score at 55% probability, locked before kickoff.
When is Vitória vs Chapecoense?
Vitória vs Chapecoense kicks off on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 11:00 PM at Estádio Manoel Barradas.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and Chapecoense?
In their last 6 meetings, Vitória won 2, Chapecoense won 1 and 3 ended level, with 1.7 goals per game on average.
Will both teams score in Vitória vs Chapecoense?
Both teams scored in 3 of Vitória's last 5 matches and in 4 of Chapecoense's last 5.