AI tip
medium confidenceUSA win or draw
76%
USA are at home in St. Louis and have won three of their last five, while Chile have lost three of five and failed to keep a clean sheet in six matches. Combining a 52% home win with a 24% draw gives roughly 76% for the double chance, the safest of the available outcomes. Card and shot averages in both samples (3.6 and 0.8 yellows, 20.6 and 22.6 shots) sit below the lines, so those markets lean under but with less margin.
Locked 2026-09-29 05:40 UTC · before kickoff · claude-opus-5
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| USA | Stat | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 2 |
| 3.8 | Match goals | 3.6 |
| 3/5 | Over 2.5 | 4/5 |
| 3/5 | Both scored | 4/5 |
| 2/5 | Clean sheets | 0/5 |
| 1.18 | xG for | — |
| 1.42 | xG against | — |
| 5.6 | Corners won | 2 |
| 3.2 | Corners conceded | 8 |
| 8.8 | Match corners | 10 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 0.6 |
| 3.8 | Match cards | 2 |
| 3.8 | Shots on target | 3.8 |
| 11.8 | Fouls | 14.4 |
Head to head
- 2019-03-27USA1 - 1Chile
- 2015-01-28Chile3 - 2USA
- 2011-01-23USA1 - 1Chile
- 1950-07-02Chile5 - 2USA