UD Ourense
MéridaAI tip
Medium confidenceSkip — no tip
The most likely outcome was Draw or Mérida win at 77%, but the bookmaker's price is too short for that chance — so there is no tip worth backing.
Mérida's recent form and goal scoring record, with 9 goals in their last 5 matches, along with UD Ourense's struggles to score, having only scored 2 goals in their last 5 matches, lead me to favor Mérida for the win.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| UD Ourense | Stat | Mérida |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 0.6 |
| 2.2 | Match goals | 2.4 |
| 2/5 | Over 2.5 | 3/5 |
| 1/5 | Both scored | 2/5 |
| 1/5 | Clean sheets | 3/5 |
| — | xG for | — |
| — | xG against | — |
| — | Corners won | — |
| — | Corners conceded | — |
| — | Match corners | — |
| 1.67 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 6.67 | Match cards | 1 |
| — | Shots on target | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
UD Ourense vs Mérida: key players and team news
UD Ourense
Top scorers this season
- Rufo Sanchez1 goal
- Sergi Baldrich1 goal
- Xabi Domínguez1 goal
Mérida
Top scorers this season
- Sofiane El Ftouhi4 goals
- Lacine Koné3 goals
- Sigurður Hallsson3 goals
Season stats and team news update until kickoff. A predicted lineup is a forecast, not the announced team.
UD Ourense vs Mérida stats & preview
UD Ourense have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Mérida have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
UD Ourense score 0.4 and concede 1.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. 2 of UD Ourense's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1. Mérida score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches. 3 of Mérida's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2.
On discipline, UD Ourense pick up 1.7 yellow cards per game and Mérida 0.
In the league table, UD Ourense are 20 of 20 with 8 points, and Mérida are 9 with 16.
The AI skipped UD Ourense vs Mérida — no outcome was above its confidence bar, so there is no tip.
UD Ourense vs Mérida prediction: result and double chance
AI probabilities: UD Ourense win 23%, draw 29%, Mérida win 48%. Double chance: UD Ourense or draw 52%, Mérida or draw 77%.
UD Ourense vs Mérida over 2.5 goals prediction
UD Ourense's last 5 matches averaged 2.2 goals in total, 2 of them over 2.5. Mérida's last 5 averaged 2.4, 3 over 2.5.
AI probability: over 2.5 goals 55%, over 1.5 goals 79%.
UD Ourense vs Mérida BTTS prediction
Both teams scored in 1 of UD Ourense's last 5 matches and in 2 of Mérida's last 5.
AI probability that both teams score: 41%.
UD Ourense vs Mérida cards prediction
UD Ourense's recent matches averaged 4.3 yellow cards in total, Mérida's 0.
AI probability of over 4.5 yellow cards: 51%.
Standings · Primera Federacion - Group 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mérida | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18-14 | 16 |
| 20 | UD Ourense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4-16 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for UD Ourense vs Mérida?
The AI skipped UD Ourense vs Mérida — no outcome was above its confidence bar, so there is no tip.
When is UD Ourense vs Mérida?
UD Ourense vs Mérida kicks off on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM.
What are the standings of UD Ourense and Mérida?
In the league table, UD Ourense are 20 of 20 with 8 points, and Mérida are 9 with 16.
What is the head-to-head record between UD Ourense and Mérida?
There are no recent meetings between UD Ourense and Mérida in our data.
Will both teams score in UD Ourense vs Mérida?
Both teams scored in 1 of UD Ourense's last 5 matches and in 2 of Mérida's last 5.
Who are the key players in UD Ourense vs Mérida?
UD Ourense's top scorers this season: Rufo Sanchez (1 goal), Sergi Baldrich (1 goal), and Xabi Domínguez (1 goal). Mérida's top scorers this season: Sofiane El Ftouhi (4 goals), Lacine Koné (3 goals), and Sigurður Hallsson (3 goals).