AI tip
Medium confidenceSkip — no tip
The most likely outcome was Spezia to win at 60%, but the bookmaker's price is too short for that chance — so there is no tip worth backing.
Spezia's strong league position, recent form, and goal difference support a high probability of a home win, with their 11 wins in 13 matches and 25 goals scored contributing to this estimate, while Vado's inconsistent form and lower goal tally lead to a lower away win probability.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Spezia | Stat | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 0.4 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 2.4 | Match goals | 3.4 |
| 2/5 | Over 2.5 | 4/5 |
| 2/5 | Both scored | 4/5 |
| 3/5 | Clean sheets | 1/5 |
| — | xG for | — |
| — | xG against | — |
| 4.6 | Corners won | 4 |
| 5 | Corners conceded | 5.8 |
| 9.6 | Match corners | 9.8 |
| 0.6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 2 | Match cards | 3 |
| 5.2 | Shots on target | 5.8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16.4 |
Spezia vs Vado: key players and team news
Spezia
Top scorers this season
- Simone Mazzocchi7 goals
- Kevin Bright4 goals
- Alessandro Cardinali2 goals
Highest rated this season
- Galo Capomaggio7.64 rating
- Alessandro Cardinali7.63 rating
- Aleš Matějů7.48 rating
Out or doubtful
- Mouhamadou SarrInjury · About a week
Last starting XI · 4-2-3-1
Alessandro Micai, Jérémy Oyono, Motiejus Šapola, Riccardo Sganzerla, Damiano Cancellieri, Pietro Candelari, Galo Capomaggio, Denis Cazzadori, Kaleb Jiménez, Alessandro Cardinali, Simone Mazzocchi
Vado
Top scorers this season
- Iacopo Cernigoi4 goals
- Diego Vita3 goals
- Matteo Ferro2 goals
Highest rated this season
- Iacopo Cernigoi7.11 rating
- Matteo Ferro7.03 rating
- Mirko Lazzarini7.03 rating
Out or doubtful
No reported absences
Last starting XI · 4-3-1-2
Andrea Sala, Mirko Lazzarini, Federico Gulinelli, Mirko Saltarelli, Filippo Saiani, Maiko Candiano, Matteo Viti, Matteo Rinaldis, Jacopo Simonetta, Matteo Ferro, Iacopo Cernigoi
Season stats and team news update until kickoff. A predicted lineup is a forecast, not the announced team.
Spezia vs Vado stats & preview
Spezia have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Vado have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
Spezia score 2 and concede 0.4 goals per game across their last 5 matches. 2 of Spezia's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2. Vado score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches. 4 of Vado's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4.
On corners, Spezia win 4.6 per game and Vado 4. On discipline, Spezia pick up 0.6 yellow cards per game and Vado 1.
In the league table, Spezia are 1 of 20 with 35 points, and Vado are 14 with 16.
The AI skipped Spezia vs Vado — no outcome was above its confidence bar, so there is no tip.
Spezia vs Vado prediction: result and double chance
AI probabilities: Spezia win 60%, draw 25%, Vado win 15%. Double chance: Spezia or draw 85%, Vado or draw 40%.
Spezia vs Vado over 2.5 goals prediction
Spezia's last 5 matches averaged 2.4 goals in total, 2 of them over 2.5. Vado's last 5 averaged 3.4, 4 over 2.5.
AI probability: over 2.5 goals 55%, over 1.5 goals 78%.
Spezia vs Vado BTTS prediction
Both teams scored in 2 of Spezia's last 5 matches and in 4 of Vado's last 5.
AI probability that both teams score: 55%.
Spezia vs Vado corners prediction
Spezia's recent matches averaged 9.6 corners in total, Vado's 9.8.
AI probability of over 9.5 corners: 55%.
Spezia vs Vado cards prediction
Spezia's recent matches averaged 1.4 yellow cards in total, Vado's 2.8.
AI probability of over 4.5 yellow cards: 42%.
Standings · Serie C Grp. B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25-6 | 35 |
| 14 | Vado | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15-16 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Spezia vs Vado?
The AI skipped Spezia vs Vado — no outcome was above its confidence bar, so there is no tip.
When is Spezia vs Vado?
Spezia vs Vado kicks off on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 1:30 PM at Stadio Alberto Picco.
What are the standings of Spezia and Vado?
In the league table, Spezia are 1 of 20 with 35 points, and Vado are 14 with 16.
What is the head-to-head record between Spezia and Vado?
There are no recent meetings between Spezia and Vado in our data.
Will both teams score in Spezia vs Vado?
Both teams scored in 2 of Spezia's last 5 matches and in 4 of Vado's last 5.
Who are the key players in Spezia vs Vado?
Spezia's top scorers this season: Simone Mazzocchi (7 goals), Kevin Bright (4 goals), and Alessandro Cardinali (2 goals). Vado's top scorers this season: Iacopo Cernigoi (4 goals), Diego Vita (3 goals), and Matteo Ferro (2 goals).
Who is injured or suspended for Spezia vs Vado?
Spezia: Mouhamadou Sarr (injury). Vado: no reported absences.