Paris FC
LensAI tip
Medium confidenceUnder 4.5 yellow cards
72%
Market odds at lock: not available
Both teams have low yellow card totals recently (Paris FC 2.4 per game, Lens 3.4), and the base rate also favours under 4.5 cards. This gives an estimated 72% chance of under 4.5 cards, making it the most likely outcome. Home win is also probable at 63%, but the cards market is clearer.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Paris FC | Stat | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1 |
| 2.8 | Goals conceded | 2.6 |
| 4.6 | Match goals | 3.6 |
| 3/5 | Over 2.5 | 3/5 |
| 3/5 | Both scored | 3/5 |
| 2/5 | Clean sheets | 0/5 |
| 2.13 | xG for | 0.95 |
| 1.68 | xG against | 1.76 |
| 5.8 | Corners won | 3.8 |
| 6.6 | Corners conceded | 4.8 |
| 12.4 | Match corners | 8.6 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 2.4 | Match cards | 3.4 |
| 5.4 | Shots on target | 3.2 |
| 6.2 | Fouls | 11.6 |
Paris FC vs Lens: key players and team news
Paris FC
Top scorers this season
- Mariam Toloba3 goals
- Clara Mateo2 goals
- Anaële Le Moguédec1 goal
Highest rated this season
- Mariam Toloba7.94 rating
- Maeline Mendy7.55 rating
- Clara Mateo7.55 rating
Starting XI · 4-2-3-1
Kinga Seweryn, Melween Ndongala, Hillary Diaz, Théa Greboval, Manoly Baquerizo, Océane Picard, Kaja Korošec, Aurélie Reynders, Maeline Mendy, Clara Mateo, Mariam Toloba
Lens
Top scorers this season
- Lèa Notel2 goals
- Morgane Duporge1 goal
- Emma Smaali1 goal
Highest rated this season
- Lèa Notel6.99 rating
- Louann Archier6.98 rating
- Emma Smaali6.87 rating
Starting XI · 5-4-1
Elisa Launay, Jennyfer Limage, Yakaré Niakaté, Laureen Oillic, Louann Archier, Lèa Notel, Fanny Rossi, Emma Smaali, Morgane Duporge, Roseline Éloissaint, Noemie Gelders
Season stats and team news update until kickoff. A predicted lineup is a forecast, not the announced team.
Paris FC vs Lens stats & preview
Paris FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Lens have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
Paris FC score 1.8 and concede 2.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Paris FC create 2.1 xG per game and allow 1.7. 3 of Paris FC's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3. Lens score 1 and concede 2.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Lens create 1 xG per game and allow 1.8. 3 of Lens's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3.
On corners, Paris FC win 5.8 per game and Lens 3.8. On discipline, Paris FC pick up 0.8 yellow cards per game and Lens 1.6.
In their last 3 meetings, Paris FC won 3, Lens won 0 and 0 ended level, with 4.3 goals per game on average.
In the league table, Paris FC are 3 of 12 with 9 points, and Lens are 11 with 1.
The AI's tip for Paris FC vs Lens is Under 4.5 yellow cards at 72% probability, locked before kickoff.
Standings · Premiere Ligue
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paris FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9-8 | 9 |
| 11 | Lens | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-10 | 1 |
Head to head
- 2026-05-06Paris FC6 - 2Lens
- 2026-01-10Lens0 - 2Paris FC
- 2025-11-07Lens1 - 2Paris FC
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Lens?
The AI's tip for Paris FC vs Lens is Under 4.5 yellow cards at 72% probability, locked before kickoff.
When was Paris FC vs Lens played?
Paris FC vs Lens kicked off on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM at Stade Sébastien-Charléty and finished 4-1.
What are the standings of Paris FC and Lens?
In the league table, Paris FC are 3 of 12 with 9 points, and Lens are 11 with 1.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Lens?
In their last 3 meetings, Paris FC won 3, Lens won 0 and 0 ended level, with 4.3 goals per game on average.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Lens?
Both teams scored in 3 of Paris FC's last 5 matches and in 3 of Lens's last 5.
Who are the key players in Paris FC vs Lens?
Paris FC's top scorers this season: Mariam Toloba (3 goals), Clara Mateo (2 goals), and Anaële Le Moguédec (1 goal). Lens's top scorers this season: Lèa Notel (2 goals), Morgane Duporge (1 goal), and Emma Smaali (1 goal).