Mirassol
Atlético-MGAI tip
Medium confidenceSkip — no tip
The most likely outcome was Over 2.5 goals at 55%, but the bookmaker's price is too short for that chance — so there is no tip worth backing.
The recent form of both teams and their head-to-head history suggest a closely contested match, with Mirassol's home advantage slightly countered by Atlético-MG's higher league position and stronger overall performance, leading to a moderate probability of over 2.5 goals given the match totals of 2 and 2.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches and 3 goals per game in their last 3 head-to-head meetings.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Mirassol | Stat | Atlético-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals scored | 0.6 |
| 1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 2 | Match goals | 2.2 |
| 1/5 | Over 2.5 | 1/5 |
| 2/5 | Both scored | 2/5 |
| 1/5 | Clean sheets | 0/5 |
| 1.82 | xG for | 1 |
| 1.73 | xG against | 2.35 |
| 4.2 | Corners won | 6.4 |
| 4.6 | Corners conceded | 5.2 |
| 8.8 | Match corners | 11.6 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 5.6 | Match cards | 4.8 |
| 3.4 | Shots on target | 4.2 |
| 12.8 | Fouls | 11.2 |
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG: key players and team news
Mirassol
Top scorers this season
- Eduardo7 goals
- Igor Formiga4 goals
- André Luís3 goals
Highest rated this season
- Igor Formiga7.40 rating
- Willian Machado7.19 rating
- Reinaldo7.06 rating
Out or doubtful
- Bruno SantosSuspension · Late November 2026
- NeguebaInjury · Out for season
Last starting XI · 4-2-3-1
Walter, Igor Formiga, João Victor, Lucas Oliveira, Reinaldo, Denilson, Neto, Shaylon, Eduardo, Alesson, André Luís
Atlético-MG
Top scorers this season
- Bernard5 goals
- Tomás Cuello5 goals
- Reinier4 goals
Highest rated this season
- Tomás Cuello7.15 rating
- Renan Lodi7.04 rating
- Natanael7.01 rating
Out or doubtful
- Tomás PérezSuspension · Mid November 2026
- VitãoUnavailable · Mid November 2026
- Kauã PasciniUnavailable · Mid November 2026
- Ángelo PreciadoUnavailable · Mid November 2026
- Alan MindaInjury · About 1-2 weeks
- Alan FrancoInjury · About 1-2 weeks
- Victor HugoInjury · About 1-2 weeks
- ReinierInjury · Out for season
- Thiago BorbasInjury · Mid November 2026
Last starting XI · 4-2-3-1
Everson, Natanael, Vitão, Vitor Hugo, Renan Lodi, Alan Franco, Kevin Castaño, Tomás Cuello, Bernard, Alan Minda, Igor Gomes
Season stats and team news update until kickoff. A predicted lineup is a forecast, not the announced team.
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG stats & preview
Mirassol have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Atlético-MG have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
Mirassol score 1 and concede 1 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Mirassol create 1.8 xG per game and allow 1.7. 1 of Mirassol's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2. Atlético-MG score 0.6 and concede 1.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Atlético-MG create 1 xG per game and allow 2.4. 1 of Atlético-MG's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2.
On corners, Mirassol win 4.2 per game and Atlético-MG 6.4. On discipline, Mirassol pick up 2.4 yellow cards per game and Atlético-MG 1.8.
In their last 3 meetings, Mirassol won 0, Atlético-MG won 2 and 1 ended level, with 3 goals per game on average.
In the league table, Mirassol are 14 of 20 with 40 points, and Atlético-MG are 7 with 50.
The AI skipped Mirassol vs Atlético-MG — no outcome was above its confidence bar, so there is no tip.
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG prediction: result and double chance
AI probabilities: Mirassol win 38%, draw 30%, Atlético-MG win 32%. Double chance: Mirassol or draw 68%, Atlético-MG or draw 62%.
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG over 2.5 goals prediction
Mirassol's last 5 matches averaged 2 goals in total, 1 of them over 2.5. Atlético-MG's last 5 averaged 2.2, 1 over 2.5.
AI probability: over 2.5 goals 55%, over 1.5 goals 79%.
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG BTTS prediction
Both teams scored in 2 of Mirassol's last 5 matches and in 2 of Atlético-MG's last 5.
AI probability that both teams score: 60%.
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG corners prediction
Mirassol's recent matches averaged 8.8 corners in total, Atlético-MG's 11.6.
AI probability of over 9.5 corners: 55%.
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG cards prediction
Mirassol's recent matches averaged 5.2 yellow cards in total, Atlético-MG's 4.4.
AI probability of over 4.5 yellow cards: 51%.
Standings · Série A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlético-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44-40 | 50 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39-48 | 40 |
More Brasileirão Série A predictions →
Head to head
- 2026-05-16Atlético-MG3 - 1Mirassol
- 2025-09-28Atlético-MG1 - 0Mirassol
- 2025-04-26Mirassol2 - 2Atlético-MG
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?
The AI skipped Mirassol vs Atlético-MG — no outcome was above its confidence bar, so there is no tip.
When is Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?
Mirassol vs Atlético-MG kicks off on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
What are the standings of Mirassol and Atlético-MG?
In the league table, Mirassol are 14 of 20 with 40 points, and Atlético-MG are 7 with 50.
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Atlético-MG?
In their last 3 meetings, Mirassol won 0, Atlético-MG won 2 and 1 ended level, with 3 goals per game on average.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?
Both teams scored in 2 of Mirassol's last 5 matches and in 2 of Atlético-MG's last 5.
Who are the key players in Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?
Mirassol's top scorers this season: Eduardo (7 goals), Igor Formiga (4 goals), and André Luís (3 goals). Atlético-MG's top scorers this season: Bernard (5 goals), Tomás Cuello (5 goals), and Reinier (4 goals).
Who is injured or suspended for Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?
Mirassol: Bruno Santos (suspension) and Negueba (injury). Atlético-MG: Tomás Pérez (suspension), Vitão (unavailable), Kauã Pascini (unavailable), Ángelo Preciado (unavailable), Alan Minda (injury), Alan Franco (injury), Victor Hugo (injury), Reinier (injury), and Thiago Borbas (injury).