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Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Grp. L

Madagascar vs TanzaniaAI tip, prediction & stats

Tue, 29 Sep 2026 13:00 UTC

AI tip

low confidence

Madagascar win or draw

66%

Played at a neutral ground in Meknès, so Madagascar's nominal home tag brings little advantage, but they look marginally the better side with 1.8 goals scored per game versus Tanzania's 1.4 and a weak 0.45 xG for the Tanzanians. Tanzania have won just one of their last five (a 6-0 friendly rout of Macao) and drew or lost the rest, and the H2H is tight at 1-1-2. Madagascar avoiding defeat covers roughly two thirds of that spread, though the margin is small enough to keep confidence low.

Locked 2026-09-28 05:41 UTC · before kickoff · claude-opus-5

Pre-match stats

per game · last 5 matches
MadagascarStatTanzania
1.8Goals scored1.4
2.4Goals conceded1
4.2Match goals2.4
4/5Over 2.51/5
3/5Both scored1/5
1/5Clean sheets1/5
—xG for0.45
—xG against1
1.5Corners won1.67
8.5Corners conceded2
10Match corners3.67
0.67Yellow cards2.5
2.33Match cards3.5
1Shots on target2.33
10.5Fouls12.33

Head to head

  • 2025-08-09Tanzania2 - 1Madagascar
  • 2025-06-07Tanzania0 - 1Madagascar
  • 2021-11-14Madagascar1 - 1Tanzania
  • 2021-09-07Tanzania3 - 2Madagascar