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Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Grp. L
Madagascar vs TanzaniaAI tip, prediction & stats
Tue, 29 Sep 2026 13:00 UTC
AI tip
low confidenceMadagascar win or draw
66%
Played at a neutral ground in Meknès, so Madagascar's nominal home tag brings little advantage, but they look marginally the better side with 1.8 goals scored per game versus Tanzania's 1.4 and a weak 0.45 xG for the Tanzanians. Tanzania have won just one of their last five (a 6-0 friendly rout of Macao) and drew or lost the rest, and the H2H is tight at 1-1-2. Madagascar avoiding defeat covers roughly two thirds of that spread, though the margin is small enough to keep confidence low.
Locked 2026-09-28 05:41 UTC · before kickoff · claude-opus-5
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Madagascar | Stat | Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 2.4 | Goals conceded | 1 |
| 4.2 | Match goals | 2.4 |
| 4/5 | Over 2.5 | 1/5 |
| 3/5 | Both scored | 1/5 |
| 1/5 | Clean sheets | 1/5 |
| — | xG for | 0.45 |
| — | xG against | 1 |
| 1.5 | Corners won | 1.67 |
| 8.5 | Corners conceded | 2 |
| 10 | Match corners | 3.67 |
| 0.67 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 2.33 | Match cards | 3.5 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 2.33 |
| 10.5 | Fouls | 12.33 |
Head to head
- 2025-08-09Tanzania2 - 1Madagascar
- 2025-06-07Tanzania0 - 1Madagascar
- 2021-11-14Madagascar1 - 1Tanzania
- 2021-09-07Tanzania3 - 2Madagascar