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Liga MX

León vs ChivasAI tip, prediction & stats

1 – 1 FTAI tip won

AI tip

Medium confidence

León win or draw

70%

Market odds at lock: not available

León win or draw at 70% (no bookmaker price for this market). The AI's most likely outcome, Over 2.5 goals (55%), is too much of a long shot for a tip, so we publish León win or draw instead. The recent averages of both teams show a high match total of goals, with León averaging 3.4 goals per game and Chivas averaging 2.4, and both teams scoring in 4/5 of León's last matches and 3/5 of Chivas', leading to a high probability of over 2.5 goals.

Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model

Pre-match stats

per game · last 5 matches
LeónStatChivas
1.6Goals scored1.6
1.8Goals conceded0.8
3.4Match goals2.4
2/5Over 2.51/5
4/5Both scored3/5
1/5Clean sheets2/5
1.9xG for1.47
1.42xG against1.12
5.2Corners won7
6.8Corners conceded6
12Match corners13
3Yellow cards1.2
6Match cards3.6
5.2Shots on target5.6
13.4Fouls12.8

León vs Chivas: key players and team news

León

Top scorers this season

  • José Alvarado6 goals
  • Díber Cambindo4 goals
  • Daniel Arcila4 goals

Highest rated this season

  • Daniel Arcila7.18 rating
  • Óscar García7.10 rating
  • Jordi Cortizo7.05 rating

Starting XI · 3-5-2

Óscar García, Jhohan Romaña, Juan Guevara, Sebastián Vegas, Iván Moreno, Rodrigo Echeverría, Iván Rodríguez, Fernando Beltrán, Daniel Arcila, Díber Cambindo, José Alvarado

Chivas

Top scorers this season

  • Ricardo Marín6 goals
  • Roberto Alvarado5 goals
  • Santiago Sandoval5 goals

Highest rated this season

  • Roberto Alvarado7.95 rating
  • Santiago Sandoval7.49 rating
  • Luis Romo7.41 rating

Starting XI · 3-4-2-1

Raúl Rangel, Daniel Aguirre, Diego Campillo, Luis Romo, Richard Ledezma, Omar Govea, Rubén González, Bryan González, Roberto Alvarado, Efraín Álvarez, Santiago Sandoval

Season stats and team news update until kickoff. A predicted lineup is a forecast, not the announced team.

León vs Chivas stats & preview

León have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Chivas have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

León score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, León create 1.9 xG per game and allow 1.4. 2 of León's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4. Chivas score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Chivas create 1.5 xG per game and allow 1.1. 1 of Chivas's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3.

On corners, León win 5.2 per game and Chivas 7. On discipline, León pick up 3 yellow cards per game and Chivas 1.2.

In their last 6 meetings, León won 3, Chivas won 3 and 0 ended level, with 2.8 goals per game on average.

In the league table, León are 7 of 18 with 23 points, and Chivas are 3 with 30.

The AI's tip for León vs Chivas is León win or draw at 70% probability, locked before kickoff.

León vs Chivas prediction: result and double chance

AI probabilities: León win 41%, draw 29%, Chivas win 30%. Double chance: León or draw 70%, Chivas or draw 59%.

León vs Chivas over 2.5 goals prediction

León's last 5 matches averaged 3.4 goals in total, 2 of them over 2.5. Chivas's last 5 averaged 2.4, 1 over 2.5.

AI probability: over 2.5 goals 55%, over 1.5 goals 79%.

León vs Chivas BTTS prediction

Both teams scored in 4 of León's last 5 matches and in 3 of Chivas's last 5.

AI probability that both teams score: 59%.

León vs Chivas corners prediction

León's recent matches averaged 12 corners in total, Chivas's 13.

AI probability of over 9.5 corners: 55%.

León vs Chivas cards prediction

León's recent matches averaged 5.8 yellow cards in total, Chivas's 2.8.

AI probability of over 4.5 yellow cards: 51%.

Standings · Liga MX

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Chivas1686226-1530
7León1665523-2123

More Liga MX predictions →

Head to head

  • 2026-03-19Chivas5 - 0León
  • 2025-07-20León1 - 0Chivas
  • 2025-01-29León2 - 1Chivas
  • 2024-09-19Chivas2 - 0León
  • 2024-03-09Chivas1 - 2León
  • 2023-07-04León1 - 2Chivas

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for León vs Chivas?

The AI's tip for León vs Chivas is León win or draw at 70% probability, locked before kickoff.

When was León vs Chivas played?

León vs Chivas kicked off on Monday, November 9, 2026 at 2:10 AM at Estadio León (Nou Camp) and finished 1-1.

What are the standings of León and Chivas?

In the league table, León are 7 of 18 with 23 points, and Chivas are 3 with 30.

What is the head-to-head record between León and Chivas?

In their last 6 meetings, León won 3, Chivas won 3 and 0 ended level, with 2.8 goals per game on average.

Will both teams score in León vs Chivas?

Both teams scored in 4 of León's last 5 matches and in 3 of Chivas's last 5.

Who are the key players in León vs Chivas?

León's top scorers this season: José Alvarado (6 goals), Díber Cambindo (4 goals), and Daniel Arcila (4 goals). Chivas's top scorers this season: Ricardo Marín (6 goals), Roberto Alvarado (5 goals), and Santiago Sandoval (5 goals).