AI tip
Medium confidenceLeón win or draw
70%
Market odds at lock: not available
León win or draw at 70% (no bookmaker price for this market). The AI's most likely outcome, Over 2.5 goals (55%), is too much of a long shot for a tip, so we publish León win or draw instead. The recent averages of both teams show a high match total of goals, with León averaging 3.4 goals per game and Chivas averaging 2.4, and both teams scoring in 4/5 of León's last matches and 3/5 of Chivas', leading to a high probability of over 2.5 goals.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| León | Stat | Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 3.4 | Match goals | 2.4 |
| 2/5 | Over 2.5 | 1/5 |
| 4/5 | Both scored | 3/5 |
| 1/5 | Clean sheets | 2/5 |
| 1.9 | xG for | 1.47 |
| 1.42 | xG against | 1.12 |
| 5.2 | Corners won | 7 |
| 6.8 | Corners conceded | 6 |
| 12 | Match corners | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 6 | Match cards | 3.6 |
| 5.2 | Shots on target | 5.6 |
| 13.4 | Fouls | 12.8 |
León vs Chivas: key players and team news
León
Top scorers this season
- José Alvarado6 goals
- Díber Cambindo4 goals
- Daniel Arcila4 goals
Highest rated this season
- Daniel Arcila7.18 rating
- Óscar García7.10 rating
- Jordi Cortizo7.05 rating
Starting XI · 3-5-2
Óscar García, Jhohan Romaña, Juan Guevara, Sebastián Vegas, Iván Moreno, Rodrigo Echeverría, Iván Rodríguez, Fernando Beltrán, Daniel Arcila, Díber Cambindo, José Alvarado
Chivas
Top scorers this season
- Ricardo Marín6 goals
- Roberto Alvarado5 goals
- Santiago Sandoval5 goals
Highest rated this season
- Roberto Alvarado7.95 rating
- Santiago Sandoval7.49 rating
- Luis Romo7.41 rating
Starting XI · 3-4-2-1
Raúl Rangel, Daniel Aguirre, Diego Campillo, Luis Romo, Richard Ledezma, Omar Govea, Rubén González, Bryan González, Roberto Alvarado, Efraín Álvarez, Santiago Sandoval
Season stats and team news update until kickoff. A predicted lineup is a forecast, not the announced team.
León vs Chivas stats & preview
León have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Chivas have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
León score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, León create 1.9 xG per game and allow 1.4. 2 of León's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4. Chivas score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Chivas create 1.5 xG per game and allow 1.1. 1 of Chivas's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3.
On corners, León win 5.2 per game and Chivas 7. On discipline, León pick up 3 yellow cards per game and Chivas 1.2.
In their last 6 meetings, León won 3, Chivas won 3 and 0 ended level, with 2.8 goals per game on average.
In the league table, León are 7 of 18 with 23 points, and Chivas are 3 with 30.
The AI's tip for León vs Chivas is León win or draw at 70% probability, locked before kickoff.
León vs Chivas prediction: result and double chance
AI probabilities: León win 41%, draw 29%, Chivas win 30%. Double chance: León or draw 70%, Chivas or draw 59%.
León vs Chivas over 2.5 goals prediction
León's last 5 matches averaged 3.4 goals in total, 2 of them over 2.5. Chivas's last 5 averaged 2.4, 1 over 2.5.
AI probability: over 2.5 goals 55%, over 1.5 goals 79%.
León vs Chivas BTTS prediction
Both teams scored in 4 of León's last 5 matches and in 3 of Chivas's last 5.
AI probability that both teams score: 59%.
León vs Chivas corners prediction
León's recent matches averaged 12 corners in total, Chivas's 13.
AI probability of over 9.5 corners: 55%.
León vs Chivas cards prediction
León's recent matches averaged 5.8 yellow cards in total, Chivas's 2.8.
AI probability of over 4.5 yellow cards: 51%.
Standings · Liga MX
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26-15 | 30 |
| 7 | León | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23-21 | 23 |
Head to head
- 2026-03-19Chivas5 - 0León
- 2025-07-20León1 - 0Chivas
- 2025-01-29León2 - 1Chivas
- 2024-09-19Chivas2 - 0León
- 2024-03-09Chivas1 - 2León
- 2023-07-04León1 - 2Chivas
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for León vs Chivas?
The AI's tip for León vs Chivas is León win or draw at 70% probability, locked before kickoff.
When was León vs Chivas played?
León vs Chivas kicked off on Monday, November 9, 2026 at 2:10 AM at Estadio León (Nou Camp) and finished 1-1.
What are the standings of León and Chivas?
In the league table, León are 7 of 18 with 23 points, and Chivas are 3 with 30.
What is the head-to-head record between León and Chivas?
In their last 6 meetings, León won 3, Chivas won 3 and 0 ended level, with 2.8 goals per game on average.
Will both teams score in León vs Chivas?
Both teams scored in 4 of León's last 5 matches and in 3 of Chivas's last 5.
Who are the key players in León vs Chivas?
León's top scorers this season: José Alvarado (6 goals), Díber Cambindo (4 goals), and Daniel Arcila (4 goals). Chivas's top scorers this season: Ricardo Marín (6 goals), Roberto Alvarado (5 goals), and Santiago Sandoval (5 goals).