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Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Grp. C
Ghana vs GambiaAI tip, prediction & stats
Tue, 29 Sep 2026 16:00 UTC
AI tip
medium confidenceGhana win or draw
84%
Ghana are much the stronger side and play at home in Accra, where their defensive numbers are solid (2 clean sheets in 5, 1.0 conceded per game, 1.14 xG against). Gambia have conceded 2.2 per game and lost heavily to better opposition (1-3 Senegal, 3-4 Gabon). Combining a 60% home win with a 24% draw gives 1X around 84%, while Ghana's 0.4 goals per game keeps the over and BTTS markets below 50%.
Locked 2026-09-28 05:41 UTC · before kickoff · claude-opus-5
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Ghana | Stat | Gambia |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4 | Goals scored | 2.8 |
| 1 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 1.4 | Match goals | 5 |
| 1/5 | Over 2.5 | 5/5 |
| 1/5 | Both scored | 4/5 |
| 2/5 | Clean sheets | 1/5 |
| 0.58 | xG for | — |
| 1.14 | xG against | — |
| 1.8 | Corners won | 1 |
| 4.6 | Corners conceded | 3 |
| 6.4 | Match corners | 4 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 3.2 | Match cards | 5 |
| 1.2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 14.4 | Fouls | 16 |