Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Grp. J

Ethiopia vs SenegalAI tip, prediction & stats

Tue, 29 Sep 2026 13:00 UTC

AI tip

medium confidence

Senegal to win

69%

Senegal are far stronger, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.21 xG per game in a recent run against European opposition, while Ethiopia have scored just 0.4 per game and lost four of five. Ethiopia's home ground and altitude give some resistance, but a Senegal win remains clearly the most likely outcome at around 69%. Ethiopia rarely score (BTTS in only 1 of 5), which keeps both-teams-to-score and over 2.5 below 50%.

Locked 2026-09-28 05:40 UTC · before kickoff · claude-opus-5

Pre-match stats

per game · last 5 matches

Ethiopia	Stat	Senegal
0.4	Goals scored	2.2
1.6	Goals conceded	2
2	Match goals	4.2
1/5	Over 2.5	4/5
1/5	Both scored	4/5
1/5	Clean sheets	1/5
—	xG for	2.21
—	xG against	1.47
5	Corners won	6.4
5	Corners conceded	3.8
10	Match corners	10.2
2.5	Yellow cards	1
3.25	Match cards	2.6
5	Shots on target	5.6
13	Fouls	12.2