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Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Grp. D
Eritrea vs South AfricaAI tip, prediction & stats
Wed, 30 Sep 2026 16:00 UTC
AI tip
high confidenceSouth Africa to win
74%
South Africa are a far stronger side, unbeaten in qualifying so far and competitive in friendlies against Czechia and South Korea, while Eritrea have lost four straight, conceding 2 per game and failing to keep a clean sheet in seven matches. The Cairo venue is nominally Eritrea's home but effectively neutral, removing much of the usual home edge. South Africa's low scoring output (0.8 goals per game) keeps this from being a blowout, so the away win rather than a goals market is the pick.
Locked 2026-09-29 05:40 UTC · before kickoff · claude-opus-5
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Eritrea | Stat | South Africa |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 2 | Goals conceded | 1 |
| 2.6 | Match goals | 1.8 |
| 2/5 | Over 2.5 | 1/5 |
| 3/5 | Both scored | 2/5 |
| 0/5 | Clean sheets | 1/5 |
| — | xG for | 0.69 |
| — | xG against | 1.19 |
| 0 | Corners won | 3.2 |
| 8 | Corners conceded | 4.4 |
| 8 | Match corners | 7.6 |
| 0.75 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 2 | Match cards | 3.2 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 3.2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11.2 |