Chapecoense
Vasco da GamaAI tip
Medium confidenceSkip — no tip
The most likely outcome was Draw or Vasco da Gama win at 77%, but the bookmaker's price is too short for that chance — so there is no tip worth backing.
Vasco da Gama's recent form and goal-scoring record, combined with Chapecoense's struggles, lead me to favor an away win, with Vasco da Gama's xG per game and match total goals per game supporting this outcome.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Chapecoense | Stat | Vasco da Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.2 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 3 | Match goals | 3.6 |
| 4/5 | Over 2.5 | 4/5 |
| 3/5 | Both scored | 4/5 |
| 0/5 | Clean sheets | 0/5 |
| 0.75 | xG for | 1.44 |
| 1.89 | xG against | 1.04 |
| 4.2 | Corners won | 2.8 |
| 5.8 | Corners conceded | 6.6 |
| 10 | Match corners | 9.4 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2.2 | Match cards | 5.4 |
| 3.4 | Shots on target | 3.4 |
| 13.2 | Fouls | 12.2 |
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama: key players and team news
Chapecoense
Top scorers this season
- Marcinho5 goals
- Maurício Garcez3 goals
- Túlio3 goals
Highest rated this season
- Giovanni Augusto7.01 rating
- Camilo6.99 rating
- Maurício Garcez6.77 rating
Out or doubtful
- DomaSuspension · Mid November 2026
- Maurício GarcezInjury · Mid November 2026
- Rafael CarvalheiraInjury · Out for season
- RobertInjury · Late November 2026
Last starting XI · 4-2-3-1
Anderson, Heitor, Kauan, Doma, Bruno Pacheco, Camilo, Yago, Marcinho, Giovanni Augusto, Yannick Bolasie, Túlio
Vasco da Gama
Top scorers this season
- Andrés Gómez5 goals
- Thiago Mendes5 goals
- David4 goals
Highest rated this season
- Thiago Mendes7.37 rating
- Cuiabano7.34 rating
- Robert Renan7.14 rating
Out or doubtful
- Thiago MendesInjury · About 1-2 weeks
- Santiago SosaInjury · Early December 2026
- Cauan BarrosInjury · About 1-2 weeks
- Carlos CuestaInjury · Mid November 2026
Last starting XI · 4-2-3-1
Léo, Paulo Henrique, Gabriel Pereira, Robert Renan, Cuiabano, Santiago Sosa, Thiago Mendes, Andrés Gómez, Alan Lescano, Facundo Colidio, Bruno Duarte
Season stats and team news update until kickoff. A predicted lineup is a forecast, not the announced team.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama stats & preview
Chapecoense have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Vasco da Gama have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
Chapecoense score 0.8 and concede 2.2 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Chapecoense create 0.8 xG per game and allow 1.9. 4 of Chapecoense's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3. Vasco da Gama score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Vasco da Gama create 1.4 xG per game and allow 1. 4 of Vasco da Gama's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4.
On corners, Chapecoense win 4.2 per game and Vasco da Gama 2.8. On discipline, Chapecoense pick up 1.6 yellow cards per game and Vasco da Gama 2.
In their last 6 meetings, Chapecoense won 0, Vasco da Gama won 2 and 4 ended level, with 1.8 goals per game on average.
In the league table, Chapecoense are 20 of 20 with 21 points, and Vasco da Gama are 13 with 41.
The AI skipped Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama — no outcome was above its confidence bar, so there is no tip.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama prediction: result and double chance
AI probabilities: Chapecoense win 23%, draw 29%, Vasco da Gama win 48%. Double chance: Chapecoense or draw 52%, Vasco da Gama or draw 77%.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama over 2.5 goals prediction
Chapecoense's last 5 matches averaged 3 goals in total, 4 of them over 2.5. Vasco da Gama's last 5 averaged 3.6, 4 over 2.5.
AI probability: over 2.5 goals 55%, over 1.5 goals 78%.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama BTTS prediction
Both teams scored in 3 of Chapecoense's last 5 matches and in 4 of Vasco da Gama's last 5.
AI probability that both teams score: 59%.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama corners prediction
Chapecoense's recent matches averaged 10 corners in total, Vasco da Gama's 9.4.
AI probability of over 9.5 corners: 55%.
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama cards prediction
Chapecoense's recent matches averaged 2.2 yellow cards in total, Vasco da Gama's 5.
AI probability of over 4.5 yellow cards: 51%.
Standings · Série A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43-50 | 41 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33-68 | 21 |
More Brasileirão Série A predictions →
Head to head
- 2026-02-05Vasco da Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
- 2022-07-31Vasco da Gama0 - 0Chapecoense
- 2022-04-23Chapecoense0 - 0Vasco da Gama
- 2019-12-08Vasco da Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
- 2019-09-14Chapecoense1 - 2Vasco da Gama
- 2018-08-26Vasco da Gama3 - 1Chapecoense
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?
The AI skipped Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama — no outcome was above its confidence bar, so there is no tip.
When is Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?
Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama kicks off on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM at Arena Condá.
What are the standings of Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama?
In the league table, Chapecoense are 20 of 20 with 21 points, and Vasco da Gama are 13 with 41.
What is the head-to-head record between Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama?
In their last 6 meetings, Chapecoense won 0, Vasco da Gama won 2 and 4 ended level, with 1.8 goals per game on average.
Will both teams score in Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?
Both teams scored in 3 of Chapecoense's last 5 matches and in 4 of Vasco da Gama's last 5.
Who are the key players in Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?
Chapecoense's top scorers this season: Marcinho (5 goals), Maurício Garcez (3 goals), and Túlio (3 goals). Vasco da Gama's top scorers this season: Andrés Gómez (5 goals), Thiago Mendes (5 goals), and David (4 goals).
Who is injured or suspended for Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?
Chapecoense: Doma (suspension), Maurício Garcez (injury), Rafael Carvalheira (injury), and Robert (injury). Vasco da Gama: Thiago Mendes (injury), Santiago Sosa (injury), Cauan Barros (injury), and Carlos Cuesta (injury).