UEFA Nations League C Grp. 4

Bulgaria vs EstoniaAI tip, prediction & stats

Tue, 29 Sep 2026 18:45 UTC

AI tip

medium confidence

Bulgaria win or draw

74%

Bulgaria at home in Plovdiv gives them a modest edge against an Estonia side averaging just 0.8 goals scored per game with 0/5 overs in their last five. Combining home advantage with a likely low-scoring, tight game (Estonia drew 1-1 with Iceland and Kenya), the home-or-draw double chance sits around 74%. Both teams' modest attacking output also keeps over 2.5 goals below even money.

Locked 2026-09-28 03:55 UTC · before kickoff · claude-opus-5

Pre-match stats

per game · last 5 matches

Bulgaria	Stat	Estonia
2.8	Goals scored	0.8
1.4	Goals conceded	0.8
4.2	Match goals	1.6
3/5	Over 2.5	0/5
3/5	Both scored	2/5
1/5	Clean sheets	2/5
1.27	xG for	1.38
1.28	xG against	1.39
5	Corners won	3
4	Corners conceded	7
9	Match corners	10
1.75	Yellow cards	1.4
3.25	Match cards	4.2
7	Shots on target	5
10	Fouls	13

Head to head

2011-02-09Bulgaria2 - 2Estonia