Brighton
LiverpoolAI tip
Medium confidenceOver 1.5 goals
81%
Market odds at lock: 1.16
Over 1.5 goals at 81% (odds 1.16). No outcome offered value at its price, but two or more goals are near-certain here — on our model and on the bookmakers' goal line — so it is the tip ahead of Over 2.5 goals (62%). I based my estimate on the recent form and averages of both teams, with Brighton scoring 15 goals in their last 5 matches and Liverpool scoring 11, and both teams having high match totals in their recent games, with Brighton averaging 3.8 goals per game and Liverpool averaging 5 goals per game.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Brighton | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals scored | 2.2 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 2.8 |
| 3.8 | Match goals | 5 |
| 5/5 | Over 2.5 | 5/5 |
| 3/5 | Both scored | 5/5 |
| 2/5 | Clean sheets | 0/5 |
| 1.4 | xG for | 1.34 |
| 0.92 | xG against | 2.11 |
| 6 | Corners won | 5 |
| 3 | Corners conceded | 3.25 |
| 9 | Match corners | 8.25 |
| 0.67 | Yellow cards | 0.25 |
| 1 | Match cards | 1.5 |
| 4.33 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 9.67 | Fouls | 7.5 |
Brighton vs Liverpool: key players and team news
Brighton
Top scorers this season
- Kiko Seike4 goals
- Fran Kirby3 goals
- Caitlin Hayes2 goals
Highest rated this season
- Kiko Seike7.69 rating
- Fran Kirby7.51 rating
- Caitlin Hayes7.33 rating
Last starting XI · 4-2-3-1
Melina Loeck, Gabrielle George, Marit Auée, Caitlin Hayes, Lia Wälti, Emilie Gay, Emilie Marie Joramo, Emily Murphy, Taylor Warren, Olaug Tvedten, Rebecca Rayner
Liverpool
Top scorers this season
- Vivien Endemann3 goals
- Beata Olsson3 goals
- Grace Fisk2 goals
Highest rated this season
- Vivien Endemann7.46 rating
- Fuka Nagano7.26 rating
- Cornelia Kapocs7.05 rating
Last starting XI · 4-2-3-1
Faye Kirby, Lucy Parry, Zara Shaw, Sara Agrež, Lily Woodham, Maizie Trueman, Fuka Nagano, Alice Bergström, Marie Therese Höbinger, Mia Enderby, Mao Itamura
Season stats and team news update until kickoff. A predicted lineup is a forecast, not the announced team.
Brighton vs Liverpool stats & preview
Brighton have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Liverpool have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
Brighton score 3 and concede 0.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Brighton create 1.4 xG per game and allow 0.9. 5 of Brighton's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3. Liverpool score 2.2 and concede 2.8 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Liverpool create 1.3 xG per game and allow 2.1. 5 of Liverpool's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5.
On corners, Brighton win 6 per game and Liverpool 5. On discipline, Brighton pick up 0.7 yellow cards per game and Liverpool 0.3.
In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 1, Liverpool won 3 and 2 ended level, with 2.3 goals per game on average.
In the league table, Brighton are 7 of 14 with 11 points, and Liverpool are 12 with 8.
The AI's tip for Brighton vs Liverpool is Over 1.5 goals at 81% probability, locked before kickoff.
Brighton vs Liverpool prediction: result and double chance
AI probabilities: Brighton win 42%, draw 28%, Liverpool win 30%. Double chance: Brighton or draw 70%, Liverpool or draw 58%.
Brighton vs Liverpool over 2.5 goals prediction
Brighton's last 5 matches averaged 3.8 goals in total, 5 of them over 2.5. Liverpool's last 5 averaged 5, 5 over 2.5.
AI probability: over 2.5 goals 62%, over 1.5 goals 81%.
Brighton vs Liverpool BTTS prediction
Both teams scored in 3 of Brighton's last 5 matches and in 5 of Liverpool's last 5.
AI probability that both teams score: 65%.
Brighton vs Liverpool corners prediction
Brighton's recent matches averaged 9 corners in total, Liverpool's 8.3.
AI probability of over 9.5 corners: 55%.
Brighton vs Liverpool cards prediction
Brighton's recent matches averaged 1 yellow cards in total, Liverpool's 1.5.
AI probability of over 4.5 yellow cards: 40%.
Standings · WSL
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brighton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16-13 | 11 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14-16 | 8 |
Head to head
- 2026-05-10Liverpool2 - 3Brighton
- 2026-03-22Brighton0 - 0Liverpool
- 2025-11-09Liverpool1 - 1Brighton
- 2025-04-19Brighton1 - 2Liverpool
- 2025-01-17Liverpool2 - 1Brighton
- 2024-02-18Brighton0 - 1Liverpool
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Liverpool?
The AI's tip for Brighton vs Liverpool is Over 1.5 goals at 81% probability, locked before kickoff.
When is Brighton vs Liverpool?
Brighton vs Liverpool kicks off on Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 5:15 PM at American Express Stadium.
What are the standings of Brighton and Liverpool?
In the league table, Brighton are 7 of 14 with 11 points, and Liverpool are 12 with 8.
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Liverpool?
In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 1, Liverpool won 3 and 2 ended level, with 2.3 goals per game on average.
Will both teams score in Brighton vs Liverpool?
Both teams scored in 3 of Brighton's last 5 matches and in 5 of Liverpool's last 5.
Who are the key players in Brighton vs Liverpool?
Brighton's top scorers this season: Kiko Seike (4 goals), Fran Kirby (3 goals), and Caitlin Hayes (2 goals). Liverpool's top scorers this season: Vivien Endemann (3 goals), Beata Olsson (3 goals), and Grace Fisk (2 goals).