AI tip
Medium confidenceBotafogo win or draw
71%
Market odds at lock: not available
Botafogo win or draw at 71% (odds 1.48). The AI's own pick, Either team to win (no draw) (72%), was priced at 1.26; Botafogo win or draw offers better value at its price by the AI's numbers, so it is the tip. Botafogo's home edge is offset by Vasco's stronger recent form, leaving the match fairly even. With home win 43%, draw 28% and away win 29%, the no-draw double chance (12) is rated 72%, the most likely outcome above 50%. Expected goals are around 2.4, so unders and BTTS no are also above 50% but slightly less likely than 12.
Locked · before kickoff · TipLocked model
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Botafogo | Stat | Vasco da Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 0.4 |
| 2.4 | Match goals | 2.2 |
| 2/5 | Over 2.5 | 2/5 |
| 2/5 | Both scored | 1/5 |
| 1/5 | Clean sheets | 3/5 |
| 1.13 | xG for | 2.01 |
| 1.18 | xG against | 0.99 |
| 4 | Corners won | 6.2 |
| 4.8 | Corners conceded | 4.2 |
| 8.8 | Match corners | 10.4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 3.4 | Match cards | 5.2 |
| 5.2 | Shots on target | 5.6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11.2 |
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama preview
Botafogo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Vasco da Gama have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
Botafogo score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Botafogo create 1.1 xG per game and allow 1.2. 2 of Botafogo's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2. Vasco da Gama score 1.8 and concede 0.4 goals per game across their last 5 matches. By expected goals, Vasco da Gama create 2 xG per game and allow 1. 2 of Vasco da Gama's last 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1.
On corners, Botafogo win 4 per game and Vasco da Gama 6.2. On discipline, Botafogo pick up 2 yellow cards per game and Vasco da Gama 2.4.
In their last 6 meetings, Botafogo won 3, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 2 ended level, with 2.3 goals per game on average.
The AI's tip for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama is Botafogo win or draw at 71% probability, locked before kickoff.
More Brasileirão Série A predictions →
Head to head
- 2026-04-05Vasco da Gama1 - 2Botafogo
- 2026-02-08Vasco da Gama2 - 0Botafogo
- 2025-11-05Botafogo3 - 0Vasco da Gama
- 2025-09-12Botafogo1 - 1Vasco da Gama
- 2025-08-28Vasco da Gama1 - 1Botafogo
- 2025-07-12Vasco da Gama0 - 2Botafogo
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
The AI's tip for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama is Botafogo win or draw at 71% probability, locked before kickoff.
When is Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama kicks off on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 11:30 PM at Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos.
What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama?
In their last 6 meetings, Botafogo won 3, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 2 ended level, with 2.3 goals per game on average.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?
Both teams scored in 2 of Botafogo's last 5 matches and in 1 of Vasco da Gama's last 5.