AI tip
medium confidenceBrazil to win
61%
Brazil have won three of their last five scoring 2.0 per game with 2.69 xG, while Australia average just 0.8 goals and 0.73 xG. Head-to-head favours Brazil heavily (3 wins, 1 draw), though the Brisbane venue and the recent 1-1 keep this short of a lock. Low card counts (2.6 and 2.8 match totals) make under 4.5 yellows likely too, but Brazil is the stronger edge.
Locked 2026-09-28 05:40 UTC · before kickoff · claude-opus-5
Pre-match stats
per game · last 5 matches| Australia | Stat | Brazil |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 2 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.6 | Match goals | 2.8 |
| 0/5 | Over 2.5 | 4/5 |
| 2/5 | Both scored | 3/5 |
| 2/5 | Clean sheets | 2/5 |
| 0.73 | xG for | 2.69 |
| 1 | xG against | 0.66 |
| 5 | Corners won | 5.8 |
| 6.2 | Corners conceded | 5.4 |
| 11.2 | Match corners | 11.2 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 2.6 | Match cards | 2.8 |
| 2.8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 10.6 | Fouls | 8.6 |
Head to head
- 2026-09-25Australia1 - 1Brazil
- 2017-06-13Australia0 - 4Brazil
- 2013-09-07Brazil6 - 0Australia
- 2006-06-18Brazil2 - 0Australia